I told you to stop panicking

There's a long way to go, but the polls might just be turning in Joe Biden's favor.

I’ve been throwing cold water on many hot takes about 2024 election polling these past few weeks, and my points still stand:

• the election isn’t for eight and a half months;

• a lot can happen in a week, much less eight and a half months;

• the lucky people who don’t obsess over politics aren’t really paying much attention to the campaign yet;

• RFK, Jr. might do pretty well for a third-party candidate and affect the result in some key states;

• pollsters in 2024 are still coming to grips with the fact that nobody has landlines anymore; and,

• historically speaking, it would be surprising if the actual election results were anywhere near what the polls said in mid-March.

Now that we’ve gotten all of that out of the way, lookie what we have here:

An 0.6% lead for Biden is barely perceptible, and with Republicans’ natural advantage in the Electoral College,¹ it wouldn’t be enough for him to win the election.

RealClearPolitics still has Trump ahead by 1.7%. But even their chart is trending in the right dire…