Rigid Thinking

Rigid Thinking

Share this post

Rigid Thinking
Rigid Thinking
Ten things I think I think

Ten things I think I think

It's almost over.

Damian Penny's avatar
Damian Penny
Nov 03, 2020
∙ Paid
1

Share this post

Rigid Thinking
Rigid Thinking
Ten things I think I think
1
Share

As we approach the end of voting, let me rip off Peter King and list a few last-minute predictions and observations.

  1. Popular vote: I predict Biden by eight. A good margin - a little more than Obama’s historic win over McCain in 2008 - but not nearly as bad an electoral whipping as Trump deserves.

  2. We’ll know Biden is the winner if he wins Florida tonight. Trump has no path to victory without it. If Trump does win Florida tonight then it’s on to the rust belt.

  3. The odds of another squeaker Trump victory like 2016, and the odds of an historic Biden blowout in which he wins Texas and Georgia and maybe even Montana and Mississippi, are about the same.

  4. I predict a 50-50 Senate at the very least. MacSally, Gardner and Collins are done, but Republicans should win back the Alabama seat Doug Jones won when the GOP decided to run an accused child molester. Yes, that happened. Democrats then need to pick up one more heavily contested Republican seat, and Cal Cunningham - who survived his own sex…

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Rigid Thinking to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Damian Penny
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share